Net worth
$540,000.00
+ $34,236 (+6.34%) past year
1Y3Y5Y10YALL
Rebalanced your portfolio
Bought $10k MSFT
NVDA earnings tomorrow, trimmed 23%
Harvested $2,822 in tax losses
Swept $1.2k idle cash → SGOV
Stop-loss armed on COIN
Tengu
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Portfolio value
$401,257.92
+$25,487 ( ↑ 6.34% )past year
Net Worth
1D1W1M3M6M1YALL
$560K$430K$300K$170K
MAY 13MAY 18MAY 23MAY 28JUN 2JUN 7JUN 12
Tax-loss available
$2,822
1 name below cost · harvestable
Ask Tengu
hey tengu
Hey John — your portfolio's up 6.3% this year, a touch ahead of the S&P. Want me to look for ways to improve it?
rebalance my portfolio
Done. You'd drifted ~8% overweight tech — I trimmed NVDA & AAPL and rotated into your targets across all 6 accounts, tax-aware.
Rebalanced · 6 accounts
Drift corrected · ~$1,240 est. tax saved
analyze tesla for me
Full fan-out on TSLA — firing all 340+ agentic tools in parallel now.
Analyzing…· thought for 13s
Insider trades (Benzinga)
News brief
Institutional ownership
Dark pool prints
Quant signal
Signal coverage · TSLA
Next earnings (consensus) · TSLA
Good — I have everything I need. Synthesizing a complete verdict…
Thought for 13.0s
TSLA — PASS · Low conviction
The weight of evidence leans bearish near-term. The narrative is strong, but the quant setup, valuation, and insider selling don’t justify chasing $406.
The thesis
Robotaxis live in Austin, Dallas & Houston; China EV sales +40% YoY for six straight months; Model Y passed NHTSA’s new ADAS tests; JPM flipped bearish → Neutral.
Why I’m passing
Quant signal decile 1/10 (2 voters for, 6 against). Exec turnover is the single biggest SHAP drag; the fundamentals voter is the loudest dissenter at −0.69 on revenue −2.9% YoY, ~4% net margin.
Valuation
~445× TTM P/E — a $1.53T cap on $3.43B TTM net income, ~16× the auto-sector norm. The multiple rests entirely on the platform / AI thesis.
Drift haircuts
6 of 12 voters in red drift. macro_context and technical_advanced have sign-flipped (ic_ratio −1.72 / −0.20) — discounted. Sentiment + options_flow show severe drift, sized down.
Options flow
19 bullish / 6 bearish prints — incl. a $1.89M CALL@ask at the $400 Jul 2 strike — but ~50% of volume is off-exchange and the options voter has severe IC drift. Treating it as noise.
Insiders
Net selling: CFO Taneja sold ~$1.05M (Jun 8); Director Wilson-Thompson sold 3× since February (~$20M); Musk disposed of 96M shares in April. Zero open-market buys across 25 filings.
If I were to enter
Trigger: breakout > $430 on > 1.2× 20-day volume. Stop: weekly close < $380 (50-SMA). Targets: $460, then $490–500. Size: cap 0.2–1% NAV given the bottom-decile signal.
Catalysts
Q2 earnings Jul 21 after close (EPS est $0.45, rev $24.7B). The SpaceX/TSLA merger is the big binary — Ives pegs ~33% odds before 2027.
Coverage & calibration
Effective coverage 76.9% (9 voters firing, 3 silent on data gaps). Calibration amber — 86.4% realised vs 90% target — so treat any return bands as directional, not hard bounds.
Bottom line
Priced for perfection — at the consensus PT with a bottom-decile signal and steady insider selling. I’d wait for a pullback to $350–370, or a Q2 beat + raised guidance, before stepping in.
CopyRegenerate
Ask anything… · / for commands
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